BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→MBS

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Saginaw/Bay City/Midland, MI (MBS) flight delay odds

63.0% of 1,036 official scheduled ORD-to-MBS flights arrived on time; 25.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
63.0%arrived on time
25.7%30+ min late
3.2%cancelled
1,036scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late16.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+25.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to MBS?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MBS departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 67.7% of 365 flights. Evening was lowest at 59.8% across 326 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning36567.7%21.6%2.2%
Afternoon30060.3%27.0%3.3%
Evening32659.8%29.1%4.0%
Night4566.7%24.4%4.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to MBS?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MBS weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 72.5% of 153 flights. Sunday was lowest at 58.8% across 148 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14858.8%29.1%4.1%
Tuesday15372.5%18.3%2.6%
Wednesday14864.2%27.7%2.0%
Thursday14766.0%21.1%3.4%
Friday14861.5%27.0%3.4%
Saturday14459.0%25.7%3.5%
Sunday14858.8%31.1%3.4%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to MBS?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the ORD-to-MBS airline threshold: 63.0% of 1,036 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,03663.0%25.7%3.2%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to MBS?

Among qualifying ORD-to-MBS month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 78.9% of 90 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 46.8% across 77 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259262.0%25.0%2.2%
August 20259373.1%18.3%1.1%
September 20259078.9%15.6%1.1%
October 20259377.4%14.0%0.0%
November 20258864.8%18.2%6.8%
December 20257746.8%36.4%6.5%
January 20268456.0%33.3%3.6%
February 20268360.2%31.3%1.2%
March 20269350.5%31.2%9.7%
April 20269047.8%41.1%2.2%
May 20269366.7%26.9%1.1%
June 20266071.7%16.7%3.3%

What drove ORD to MBS delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-MBS delay category, accounting for 38.8% of 30,237 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline36.7%
Late aircraft38.8%
National airspace18.4%
Weather6.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.