BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MBS→ORD

Saginaw/Bay City/Midland, MI (MBS) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

64.7% of 1,036 official scheduled MBS-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 23.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
64.7%arrived on time
23.7%30+ min late
3.2%cancelled
1,036scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late16.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late9.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+30.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MBS to ORD?

Among qualifying MBS-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 73.4% of 301 flights. Evening was lowest at 46.9% across 130 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning30173.4%17.3%3.0%
Late morning7568.0%20.0%1.3%
Afternoon52963.7%24.8%3.2%
Evening13046.9%36.2%4.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for MBS to ORD?

Among qualifying MBS-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 71.1% of 152 flights. Friday was lowest at 57.4% across 148 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14860.8%27.0%4.7%
Tuesday15271.1%19.1%3.3%
Wednesday14967.1%22.1%2.0%
Thursday14667.1%24.7%1.4%
Friday14857.4%25.0%3.4%
Saturday14464.6%21.5%3.5%
Sunday14964.4%26.8%4.0%

Which airline was most reliable for MBS to ORD?

Only SkyWest Airlines met the MBS-to-ORD airline threshold: 64.7% of 1,036 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,03664.7%23.7%3.2%

Which month was most reliable for MBS to ORD?

Among qualifying MBS-to-ORD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 76.7% of 90 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 48.4% across 93 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259260.9%27.2%2.2%
August 20259374.2%14.0%3.2%
September 20259076.7%13.3%2.2%
October 20259374.2%16.1%0.0%
November 20258870.5%17.0%6.8%
December 20257753.2%36.4%6.5%
January 20268450.0%38.1%1.2%
February 20268372.3%16.9%1.2%
March 20269348.4%33.3%8.6%
April 20269053.3%31.1%3.3%
May 20269369.9%24.7%0.0%
June 20266073.3%16.7%3.3%

What drove MBS to ORD delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MBS-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 37.7% of 36,900 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline37.7%
Late aircraft32.1%
National airspace19.7%
Weather10.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.