BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→JFK

Chicago, IL (ORD) to New York, NY (JFK) flight delay odds

70.5% of 2,012 official scheduled ORD-to-JFK flights arrived on time; 19.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
70.5%arrived on time
19.0%30+ min late
3.7%cancelled
2,012scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late6.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+15.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to JFK?

Among qualifying ORD-to-JFK departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 80.0% of 861 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 59.6% across 670 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning86180.0%11.3%3.4%
Late morning45969.9%19.4%3.3%
Afternoon67059.6%28.7%4.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to JFK?

Among qualifying ORD-to-JFK weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 75.8% of 289 flights. Sunday was lowest at 61.5% across 288 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday29965.6%21.4%5.4%
Tuesday28275.5%16.0%3.2%
Wednesday27969.5%20.8%1.1%
Thursday27674.6%15.6%3.3%
Friday29971.6%19.1%3.7%
Saturday28975.8%17.6%3.1%
Sunday28861.5%22.6%6.2%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to JFK?

Among qualifying ORD-to-JFK airline results, JetBlue Airways had the highest on-time rate: 78.1% of 571 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 57.3% across 117 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways75975.4%15.8%2.1%
JetBlue Airways57178.1%11.7%4.4%
American Airlines55158.4%28.3%5.1%
Frontier Airlines11757.3%33.3%4.3%
Delta Air Lines1485.7%7.1%7.1%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to JFK?

Among qualifying ORD-to-JFK month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 86.4% of 177 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 59.6% across 193 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515661.5%21.8%8.3%
August 202515576.1%18.7%1.9%
September 202516779.0%15.0%0.0%
October 202518473.9%17.9%1.6%
November 202517668.2%21.6%4.0%
December 202519359.6%29.5%3.1%
January 202615065.3%19.3%6.0%
February 202613063.1%18.5%9.2%
March 202618364.5%21.9%4.9%
April 202613977.7%15.1%1.4%
May 202617786.4%8.5%0.6%
June 202620270.8%18.8%5.0%

What drove ORD to JFK delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-JFK delay category, accounting for 40.8% of 47,699 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.0%
Late aircraft40.8%
National airspace29.6%
Weather7.5%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.