BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JFKORD

New York, NY (JFK) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

Historically, 67.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,013 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
67.7%arrived on time
20.5%30+ min late
4.8%cancelled
2,013scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.6%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+16.0 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning28075.7%11.4%4.6%
Late morning50877.6%14.4%2.6%
Afternoon62566.2%22.1%5.0%
Evening57957.3%28.2%6.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday29965.2%23.4%6.0%
Tuesday27474.5%16.1%3.3%
Wednesday27766.1%23.1%3.2%
Thursday28466.5%20.1%5.6%
Friday30071.3%14.7%4.3%
Saturday28968.9%22.1%2.8%
Sunday29061.4%23.8%8.3%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways75972.2%16.6%5.5%
JetBlue Airways57264.9%23.3%3.8%
American Airlines55268.5%18.7%5.1%
Frontier Airlines11649.1%39.7%4.3%
Delta Air Lines1457.1%28.6%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515650.6%30.8%12.2%
August 202515578.1%14.8%3.9%
September 202516583.0%11.5%1.2%
October 202518663.4%22.6%2.7%
November 202517661.4%27.3%4.0%
December 202519454.1%31.4%3.6%
January 202614866.2%19.6%7.4%
February 202613166.4%18.3%9.2%
March 202618360.1%25.7%6.0%
April 202614077.1%13.6%2.9%
May 202617779.7%13.0%0.6%
June 202620274.3%14.4%5.9%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline23.0%
Late aircraft41.3%
National airspace33.2%
Weather1.9%
Security0.5%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.