BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORDCVG

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Cincinnati, OH (CVG) flight delay odds

Historically, 69.9% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 4,647 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
69.9%arrived on time
18.8%30+ min late
3.1%cancelled
4,647scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning65683.2%9.3%1.2%
Late morning73070.7%16.8%3.0%
Afternoon1,61069.0%20.2%2.9%
Evening1,29366.0%22.4%3.6%
Night35862.3%21.5%6.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday69566.9%20.6%5.0%
Tuesday66476.8%15.2%1.5%
Wednesday65169.9%17.7%2.2%
Thursday68371.3%18.0%3.2%
Friday68968.8%19.4%2.8%
Saturday57873.4%17.0%3.6%
Sunday68763.3%23.4%3.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways1,36876.6%13.8%3.4%
Envoy Air1,33369.7%19.7%2.4%
United Airlines94571.2%18.1%1.7%
SkyWest Airlines89659.9%25.1%5.4%
American Airlines6857.4%27.9%1.5%
PSA Airlines3764.9%21.6%5.4%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202539361.6%25.4%2.5%
August 202540776.2%12.5%2.9%
September 202540479.7%13.9%0.7%
October 202541777.7%11.8%0.0%
November 202537867.2%17.2%8.2%
December 202534657.2%29.5%3.8%
January 202629961.5%26.8%4.3%
February 202631370.9%20.1%0.3%
March 202640858.3%27.5%4.9%
April 202640368.7%18.1%4.5%
May 202645979.1%12.2%2.0%
June 202642075.2%16.2%3.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline29.4%
Late aircraft41.0%
National airspace17.9%
Weather11.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.