BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
CVGORD

Cincinnati, OH (CVG) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

Historically, 67.7% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 4,630 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
67.7%arrived on time
18.4%30+ min late
3.4%cancelled
4,630scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+19.4 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,26574.2%12.9%1.4%
Late morning78680.7%11.6%1.1%
Afternoon1,57868.1%19.2%4.1%
Evening95449.2%29.1%6.2%
Night4738.3%38.3%17.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday69164.1%18.5%4.9%
Tuesday66672.7%15.9%2.6%
Wednesday64571.5%17.5%2.0%
Thursday68168.1%18.4%4.3%
Friday68766.5%20.7%2.2%
Saturday57669.8%15.1%3.5%
Sunday68462.0%22.2%4.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways1,34675.0%14.3%3.5%
Envoy Air1,33870.8%16.3%2.5%
United Airlines94666.8%17.7%2.4%
SkyWest Airlines89555.2%27.2%5.7%
American Airlines6841.2%36.8%1.5%
PSA Airlines3764.9%21.6%8.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202539363.1%23.9%2.8%
August 202540874.5%15.2%2.5%
September 202540272.6%14.4%0.7%
October 202542066.9%14.8%0.7%
November 202537865.9%18.3%9.3%
December 202533454.2%30.8%3.3%
January 202629465.3%20.1%5.1%
February 202631370.3%16.6%0.6%
March 202640757.7%24.3%5.9%
April 202640468.1%17.8%4.5%
May 202645777.0%12.0%2.2%
June 202642072.9%16.2%4.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline21.1%
Late aircraft33.2%
National airspace36.1%
Weather9.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.