BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
ORD→BNA

Chicago, IL (ORD) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

66.8% of 5,021 official scheduled ORD-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 21.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
66.8%arrived on time
21.4%30+ min late
2.5%cancelled
5,021scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late12.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+19.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for ORD to BNA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 80.3% of 929 flights. Night was lowest at 54.5% across 382 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning92980.3%12.2%0.9%
Late morning67377.3%15.0%1.0%
Afternoon1,76567.0%20.1%1.7%
Evening1,27254.7%30.7%5.0%
Night38254.5%30.6%5.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for ORD to BNA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-BNA weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 71.8% of 621 flights. Monday was lowest at 62.1% across 767 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday76762.1%25.3%3.0%
Tuesday70170.0%19.5%1.7%
Wednesday68568.9%20.4%1.2%
Thursday74868.6%19.7%2.3%
Friday74364.7%21.5%2.4%
Saturday62171.8%16.9%3.2%
Sunday75662.7%25.7%3.8%

Which airline was most reliable for ORD to BNA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-BNA airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 75.4% of 560 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 58.5% across 1,467 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines1,46758.5%28.2%3.9%
United Airlines1,38169.2%19.5%1.7%
Envoy Air78372.3%16.5%3.2%
Republic Airways56075.4%14.1%1.4%
American Airlines38262.3%27.5%1.8%
Southwest Airlines33869.8%18.0%1.2%
Frontier Airlines8169.1%19.8%3.7%
Spirit Airlines2669.2%15.4%0.0%
PSA Airlines3100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for ORD to BNA?

Among qualifying ORD-to-BNA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 79.6% of 397 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 53.7% across 419 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202541953.7%29.8%3.1%
August 202541273.3%18.7%2.4%
September 202539779.6%14.1%0.3%
October 202547866.9%20.3%0.0%
November 202542766.5%21.3%4.2%
December 202536455.8%32.7%1.4%
January 202632663.8%22.1%5.5%
February 202632972.3%18.5%0.0%
March 202644757.0%25.7%6.5%
April 202651271.7%17.4%3.3%
May 202649773.8%15.7%1.0%
June 202641364.9%23.5%2.7%

What drove ORD to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded ORD-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 38.1% of 120,417 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline28.5%
Late aircraft38.1%
National airspace21.3%
Weather12.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.