BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
OAK→LAX

Oakland, CA (OAK) to Los Angeles, CA (LAX) flight delay odds

78.9% of 2,100 official scheduled OAK-to-LAX flights arrived on time; 12.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.9%arrived on time
12.1%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
2,100scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+3.9 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for OAK to LAX?

Among qualifying OAK-to-LAX departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.2% of 445 flights. Evening was lowest at 70.7% across 659 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning44591.2%3.4%2.0%
Late morning34386.9%7.9%1.5%
Afternoon61475.7%12.7%1.0%
Evening65970.7%18.5%0.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for OAK to LAX?

Among qualifying OAK-to-LAX weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 87.9% of 280 flights. Sunday was lowest at 70.0% across 333 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday32275.8%15.5%2.2%
Tuesday28885.1%8.0%1.4%
Wednesday28087.9%8.2%0.4%
Thursday31679.1%12.0%0.3%
Friday32073.8%13.8%2.2%
Saturday24184.2%7.1%0.4%
Sunday33370.0%18.0%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for OAK to LAX?

Only Southwest Airlines met the OAK-to-LAX airline threshold: 78.9% of 2,100 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,10078.9%12.1%1.0%

Which month was most reliable for OAK to LAX?

Among qualifying OAK-to-LAX month results, January 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 93.7% of 159 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 68.7% across 163 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202518377.0%10.9%3.8%
August 202518577.3%10.8%2.2%
September 202518184.0%7.2%0.0%
October 202519777.7%14.7%0.0%
November 202518478.3%14.1%1.6%
December 202518076.1%13.3%1.1%
January 202615993.7%3.8%0.0%
February 202615478.6%13.0%0.6%
March 202616979.9%11.2%0.6%
April 202616978.1%10.7%1.2%
May 202617678.4%11.4%0.0%
June 202616368.7%24.5%0.6%

What drove OAK to LAX delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded OAK-to-LAX delay category, accounting for 54.8% of 22,781 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline32.7%
Late aircraft54.8%
National airspace11.9%
Weather0.2%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.