BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
LAXOAK

Los Angeles, CA (LAX) to Oakland, CA (OAK) flight delay odds

Historically, 79.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,098 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.6%arrived on time
11.6%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
2,098scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning46894.4%2.4%1.5%
Late morning39685.6%6.8%0.3%
Afternoon58676.3%13.8%0.5%
Evening55671.2%16.5%0.2%
Night9251.1%34.8%0.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday32177.9%11.8%0.9%
Tuesday28786.8%8.0%0.3%
Wednesday28086.8%7.1%0.7%
Thursday31677.2%14.2%0.6%
Friday32073.4%15.0%0.9%
Saturday24184.6%7.5%0.0%
Sunday33373.9%15.3%0.3%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,09879.6%11.6%0.6%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202518379.2%10.4%2.7%
August 202518486.4%8.2%0.0%
September 202518184.0%6.1%0.0%
October 202519781.7%10.2%0.5%
November 202518481.0%11.4%1.1%
December 202518083.9%10.0%0.0%
January 202615886.7%6.3%0.6%
February 202615477.3%13.0%1.3%
March 202616984.0%10.1%0.0%
April 202616973.4%15.4%0.0%
May 202617671.0%16.5%0.6%
June 202616365.6%22.7%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline29.0%
Late aircraft69.6%
National airspace1.5%
Weather0.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.