BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSYLAX

New Orleans, LA (MSY) to Los Angeles, CA (LAX) flight delay odds

Historically, 79.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,499 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.5%arrived on time
12.3%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
1,499scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.9 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning44891.1%5.1%0.7%
Afternoon67077.3%13.7%0.1%
Evening33169.8%17.8%0.9%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday23475.2%16.2%1.3%
Tuesday21386.9%7.5%0.0%
Wednesday20482.4%8.3%0.0%
Thursday23282.3%10.3%0.0%
Friday23475.6%13.2%0.9%
Saturday15179.5%12.6%0.7%
Sunday23175.8%16.9%0.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines95983.4%10.0%0.5%
Southwest Airlines36169.3%17.2%0.0%
Spirit Airlines17979.3%14.5%1.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514580.0%13.1%0.0%
August 202511887.3%6.8%0.0%
September 202512186.0%9.1%0.0%
October 202517579.4%12.6%0.0%
November 202514183.7%9.2%0.7%
December 202514577.9%14.5%0.7%
January 202611077.3%16.4%1.8%
February 202610980.7%7.3%0.9%
March 202611580.9%13.9%0.9%
April 202611278.6%12.5%0.0%
May 202610770.1%13.1%0.0%
June 202610169.3%19.8%1.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline46.1%
Late aircraft41.2%
National airspace10.3%
Weather2.2%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.