BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
LAXMSY

Los Angeles, CA (LAX) to New Orleans, LA (MSY) flight delay odds

Historically, 78.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,500 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.1%arrived on time
11.8%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
1,500scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.9%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning47388.6%4.4%0.2%
Late morning27677.5%9.8%0.0%
Afternoon36769.2%18.3%0.8%
Evening30771.3%18.6%1.0%
Night7784.4%6.5%2.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday23278.0%14.2%0.4%
Tuesday21081.9%8.6%0.0%
Wednesday20985.6%6.7%0.0%
Thursday23278.0%9.9%0.4%
Friday23576.6%14.5%0.9%
Saturday15178.1%11.3%0.7%
Sunday23169.3%16.5%1.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines95981.1%10.8%0.4%
Southwest Airlines36170.1%13.9%0.3%
Spirit Airlines18077.8%12.8%2.2%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514478.5%11.8%0.0%
August 202511788.0%7.7%0.0%
September 202512288.5%7.4%0.0%
October 202517683.5%8.0%0.6%
November 202514172.3%14.2%0.7%
December 202514677.4%13.7%1.4%
January 202611077.3%9.1%0.9%
February 202610978.0%11.0%1.8%
March 202611566.1%18.3%0.9%
April 202611281.2%10.7%0.0%
May 202610772.0%14.0%0.0%
June 202610170.3%17.8%1.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline51.6%
Late aircraft33.7%
National airspace13.9%
Weather0.7%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.