BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSYBNA

New Orleans, LA (MSY) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

Historically, 77.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,495 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.5%arrived on time
12.7%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
1,495scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning38892.8%3.4%0.5%
Late morning34783.6%8.1%0.9%
Afternoon48971.2%17.4%0.6%
Evening27159.0%23.6%0.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday23075.7%12.2%0.0%
Tuesday20383.7%10.3%0.0%
Wednesday19987.4%6.5%1.0%
Thursday23276.7%11.6%0.4%
Friday23074.8%14.3%0.4%
Saturday16081.9%11.2%1.2%
Sunday24166.0%20.7%1.7%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,43078.0%12.4%0.6%
Spirit Airlines6566.2%20.0%1.5%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512871.9%17.2%0.8%
August 202511491.2%2.6%1.8%
September 202512095.0%3.3%0.0%
October 202516369.3%14.7%0.0%
November 202513873.2%15.2%0.0%
December 202512676.2%14.3%0.0%
January 202611988.2%2.5%5.0%
February 202610987.2%4.6%0.0%
March 202612074.2%15.0%0.8%
April 202611980.7%10.9%0.0%
May 202612367.5%20.3%0.0%
June 202611660.3%29.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline19.7%
Late aircraft60.7%
National airspace15.0%
Weather4.2%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.