BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSY→BNA

New Orleans, LA (MSY) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

77.5% of 1,495 official scheduled MSY-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 12.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.5%arrived on time
12.7%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
1,495scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSY to BNA?

Among qualifying MSY-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.8% of 388 flights. Evening was lowest at 59.0% across 271 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning38892.8%3.4%0.5%
Late morning34783.6%8.1%0.9%
Afternoon48971.2%17.4%0.6%
Evening27159.0%23.6%0.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSY to BNA?

Among qualifying MSY-to-BNA weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 87.4% of 199 flights. Sunday was lowest at 66.0% across 241 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday23075.7%12.2%0.0%
Tuesday20383.7%10.3%0.0%
Wednesday19987.4%6.5%1.0%
Thursday23276.7%11.6%0.4%
Friday23074.8%14.3%0.4%
Saturday16081.9%11.2%1.2%
Sunday24166.0%20.7%1.7%

Which airline was most reliable for MSY to BNA?

Among qualifying MSY-to-BNA airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 78.0% of 1,430 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 66.2% across 65 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,43078.0%12.4%0.6%
Spirit Airlines6566.2%20.0%1.5%

Which month was most reliable for MSY to BNA?

Among qualifying MSY-to-BNA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 95.0% of 120 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 60.3% across 116 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512871.9%17.2%0.8%
August 202511491.2%2.6%1.8%
September 202512095.0%3.3%0.0%
October 202516369.3%14.7%0.0%
November 202513873.2%15.2%0.0%
December 202512676.2%14.3%0.0%
January 202611988.2%2.5%5.0%
February 202610987.2%4.6%0.0%
March 202612074.2%15.0%0.8%
April 202611980.7%10.9%0.0%
May 202612367.5%20.3%0.0%
June 202611660.3%29.3%0.0%

What drove MSY to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MSY-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 60.7% of 16,226 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline19.7%
Late aircraft60.7%
National airspace15.0%
Weather4.2%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.