BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→MSY

Nashville, TN (BNA) to New Orleans, LA (MSY) flight delay odds

78.0% of 1,498 official scheduled BNA-to-MSY flights arrived on time; 12.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.0%arrived on time
12.0%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
1,498scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to MSY?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MSY departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 93.5% of 382 flights. Night was lowest at 65.0% across 180 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning38293.5%3.1%1.0%
Late morning5176.5%5.9%2.0%
Afternoon49377.5%10.5%0.6%
Evening39269.6%17.6%1.5%
Night18065.0%24.4%0.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to MSY?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MSY weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 85.2% of 203 flights. Sunday was lowest at 68.9% across 244 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday23080.0%13.5%0.9%
Tuesday20385.2%7.4%0.0%
Wednesday19981.4%11.1%0.0%
Thursday23274.1%15.1%1.3%
Friday23076.1%13.0%0.4%
Saturday16083.8%6.9%1.9%
Sunday24468.9%14.8%2.5%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to MSY?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MSY airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 78.1% of 1,433 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 75.4% across 65 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,43378.1%12.0%0.9%
Spirit Airlines6575.4%12.3%3.1%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to MSY?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MSY month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 88.3% of 120 flights. May 2026 was lowest at 59.3% across 123 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512868.8%18.8%3.1%
August 202511481.6%10.5%0.0%
September 202512088.3%4.2%0.8%
October 202516479.3%11.6%0.0%
November 202513883.3%10.9%0.0%
December 202512677.8%14.3%0.0%
January 202612082.5%5.0%6.7%
February 202611083.6%7.3%0.0%
March 202612082.5%10.8%1.7%
April 202611985.7%5.9%0.0%
May 202612359.3%21.1%0.0%
June 202611662.9%23.3%0.0%

What drove BNA to MSY delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-MSY delay category, accounting for 61.2% of 16,004 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline26.2%
Late aircraft61.2%
National airspace12.4%
Weather0.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.