BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→PHL

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Philadelphia, PA (PHL) flight delay odds

77.1% of 2,022 official scheduled MSP-to-PHL flights arrived on time; 14.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
77.1%arrived on time
14.6%30+ min late
3.3%cancelled
2,022scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to PHL?

Among qualifying MSP-to-PHL departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 88.2% of 228 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 68.6% across 727 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning65984.7%7.7%4.1%
Late morning22888.2%9.6%0.4%
Afternoon72768.6%21.3%3.7%
Evening40873.8%16.7%2.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to PHL?

Among qualifying MSP-to-PHL weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 80.2% of 293 flights. Sunday was lowest at 72.6% across 299 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday30473.0%18.1%5.3%
Tuesday30479.9%13.8%1.6%
Wednesday28979.9%11.1%2.8%
Thursday29380.2%13.3%1.4%
Friday29977.3%14.0%2.3%
Saturday23476.9%17.9%2.1%
Sunday29972.6%14.7%7.0%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to PHL?

Among qualifying MSP-to-PHL airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 79.8% of 1,211 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 72.4% across 214 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,21179.8%13.0%2.2%
PSA Airlines52072.7%14.8%6.9%
American Airlines21472.4%21.0%1.4%
Republic Airways5778.9%19.3%0.0%
SkyWest Airlines2075.0%25.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to PHL?

Among qualifying MSP-to-PHL month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 83.3% of 162 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 64.4% across 149 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202516868.5%20.8%1.2%
August 202517077.6%17.6%1.2%
September 202516283.3%12.3%0.0%
October 202519280.7%14.6%0.5%
November 202516180.7%9.9%3.7%
December 202514964.4%24.2%6.0%
January 202614067.1%20.0%8.6%
February 202613277.3%11.4%6.8%
March 202615172.2%16.6%8.6%
April 202618882.4%11.7%1.6%
May 202620982.8%9.6%1.9%
June 202620081.5%10.5%2.5%

What drove MSP to PHL delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-PHL delay category, accounting for 50.9% of 37,771 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline50.9%
Late aircraft31.5%
National airspace14.7%
Weather2.8%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.