BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→MCO

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

74.3% of 1,940 official scheduled MSP-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 16.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.4% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.3%arrived on time
16.7%30+ min late
1.4%cancelled
1,940scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to MCO?

Among qualifying MSP-to-MCO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 83.9% of 428 flights. Evening was lowest at 67.6% across 420 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning42883.9%9.1%1.6%
Late morning43077.9%15.6%0.5%
Afternoon65870.1%19.6%1.2%
Evening42067.6%21.0%2.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to MCO?

Among qualifying MSP-to-MCO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 83.8% of 266 flights. Sunday was lowest at 65.1% across 281 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27876.3%14.0%2.2%
Tuesday26683.8%12.0%0.0%
Wednesday26680.1%12.8%0.4%
Thursday27677.2%15.2%0.4%
Friday27971.7%16.8%1.1%
Saturday29467.0%24.8%1.0%
Sunday28165.1%20.3%4.6%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to MCO?

Among qualifying MSP-to-MCO airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 74.4% of 1,866 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 73.2% across 56 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,86674.4%16.7%1.3%
Frontier Airlines5673.2%14.3%5.4%
Southwest Airlines1861.1%27.8%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to MCO?

Among qualifying MSP-to-MCO month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 84.9% of 146 flights. January 2026 was lowest at 61.4% across 158 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515371.2%20.3%0.7%
August 202513467.9%23.9%0.7%
September 202512084.2%9.2%0.0%
October 202514684.9%6.2%0.7%
November 202514081.4%14.3%1.4%
December 202516469.5%15.9%1.2%
January 202615861.4%26.6%1.3%
February 202616674.1%20.5%0.0%
March 202623769.6%16.9%6.3%
April 202621082.9%11.4%0.0%
May 202616571.5%17.0%1.8%
June 202614775.5%18.4%0.0%

What drove MSP to MCO delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 54.2% of 36,074 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline54.2%
Late aircraft19.6%
National airspace22.1%
Weather4.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.