BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→MSP

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

76.6% of 1,942 official scheduled MCO-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 15.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
76.6%arrived on time
15.4%30+ min late
1.3%cancelled
1,942scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to MSP?

Among qualifying MCO-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 92.5% of 519 flights. Night was lowest at 56.4% across 110 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning51992.5%3.3%0.6%
Late morning23683.9%8.5%1.7%
Afternoon65774.0%18.0%1.2%
Evening42062.1%26.0%1.7%
Night11056.4%31.8%2.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to MSP?

Among qualifying MCO-to-MSP weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 83.8% of 265 flights. Sunday was lowest at 66.0% across 282 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday28177.6%14.2%2.1%
Tuesday26679.7%15.4%0.0%
Wednesday26583.8%12.5%0.4%
Thursday27677.9%13.0%1.1%
Friday27778.7%13.4%0.4%
Saturday29573.2%17.3%1.7%
Sunday28266.0%21.6%3.2%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to MSP?

Among qualifying MCO-to-MSP airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 76.5% of 1,868 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 75.0% across 56 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,86876.5%15.6%1.2%
Frontier Airlines5675.0%12.5%5.4%
Southwest Airlines1888.9%5.6%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to MSP?

Among qualifying MCO-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.0% of 120 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 62.1% across 153 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202515362.1%25.5%1.3%
August 202513470.9%21.6%0.0%
September 202512090.0%5.0%0.0%
October 202514688.4%7.5%0.7%
November 202514080.0%13.6%1.4%
December 202516674.1%16.9%1.2%
January 202615772.6%19.7%0.6%
February 202616670.5%19.9%0.0%
March 202623775.5%14.8%5.9%
April 202621185.8%9.5%0.0%
May 202616575.8%15.2%1.8%
June 202614774.1%15.6%0.0%

What drove MCO to MSP delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 43.1% of 40,084 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline38.9%
Late aircraft43.1%
National airspace12.1%
Weather6.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.