BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→JFK

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to New York, NY (JFK) flight delay odds

80.4% of 750 official scheduled MSP-to-JFK flights arrived on time; 13.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
80.4%arrived on time
13.2%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
750scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.7%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.2 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to JFK?

Among qualifying MSP-to-JFK departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.8% of 266 flights. Evening was lowest at 72.6% across 219 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning26686.8%8.3%0.4%
Afternoon26480.3%13.3%2.7%
Evening21972.6%19.2%1.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to JFK?

Among qualifying MSP-to-JFK weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 85.3% of 109 flights. Sunday was lowest at 75.0% across 108 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10684.0%14.2%1.9%
Tuesday10985.3%11.0%0.0%
Wednesday10783.2%12.1%0.0%
Thursday10775.7%15.9%1.9%
Friday10883.3%6.5%3.7%
Saturday10576.2%16.2%1.9%
Sunday10875.0%16.7%0.9%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to JFK?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-JFK airline threshold: 80.4% of 750 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines75080.4%13.2%1.5%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to JFK?

Among qualifying MSP-to-JFK month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 94.4% of 36 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 62.6% across 91 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259368.8%22.6%3.2%
August 20259384.9%15.1%0.0%
September 20259088.9%6.7%0.0%
October 20259381.7%12.9%1.1%
November 20258980.9%13.5%0.0%
December 20259162.6%18.7%6.6%
April 20263694.4%0.0%0.0%
May 20268788.5%8.0%0.0%
June 20266684.8%10.6%1.5%

What drove MSP to JFK delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-JFK delay category, accounting for 53.7% of 11,328 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline53.7%
Late aircraft6.7%
National airspace36.3%
Weather3.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.