BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JFK→MSP

New York, NY (JFK) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

79.6% of 750 official scheduled JFK-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 14.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.6%arrived on time
14.7%30+ min late
1.6%cancelled
750scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+6.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for JFK to MSP?

Among qualifying JFK-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.8% of 243 flights. Evening was lowest at 64.2% across 240 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning24386.8%10.7%1.2%
Late morning23585.5%11.5%0.9%
Evening24064.2%23.3%2.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for JFK to MSP?

Among qualifying JFK-to-MSP weekday results, Friday had the highest on-time rate: 84.3% of 108 flights. Thursday was lowest at 70.1% across 107 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday10682.1%12.3%0.9%
Tuesday10981.7%13.8%0.0%
Wednesday10783.2%12.1%0.0%
Thursday10770.1%19.6%1.9%
Friday10884.3%11.1%2.8%
Saturday10677.4%17.9%3.8%
Sunday10778.5%15.9%1.9%

Which airline was most reliable for JFK to MSP?

Only Delta Air Lines met the JFK-to-MSP airline threshold: 79.6% of 750 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines75079.6%14.7%1.6%

Which month was most reliable for JFK to MSP?

Among qualifying JFK-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 90.0% of 90 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 60.4% across 91 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20259376.3%17.2%3.2%
August 20259381.7%16.1%0.0%
September 20259090.0%8.9%0.0%
October 20259379.6%14.0%2.2%
November 20258979.8%14.6%0.0%
December 20259160.4%23.1%6.6%
April 20263686.1%2.8%0.0%
May 20268786.2%12.6%0.0%
June 20266783.6%11.9%1.5%

What drove JFK to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded JFK-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 40.8% of 15,056 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline40.8%
Late aircraft34.6%
National airspace24.2%
Weather0.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.