BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→JAX

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Jacksonville, FL (JAX) flight delay odds

83.6% of 347 official scheduled MSP-to-JAX flights arrived on time; 8.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.6%arrived on time
8.9%30+ min late
0.6%cancelled
347scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late0.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.6%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival-1.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to JAX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-JAX departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.4% of 218 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 76.8% across 95 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning21884.4%7.3%0.9%
Afternoon9576.8%14.7%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to JAX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-JAX weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 90.7% of 43 flights. Sunday was lowest at 73.1% across 52 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5280.8%9.6%1.9%
Tuesday4486.4%6.8%0.0%
Wednesday4390.7%9.3%0.0%
Thursday5288.5%5.8%0.0%
Friday5288.5%5.8%0.0%
Saturday5278.8%11.5%0.0%
Sunday5273.1%13.5%1.9%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to JAX?

Only Delta Air Lines met the MSP-to-JAX airline threshold: 83.6% of 347 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines34783.6%8.9%0.6%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to JAX?

Among qualifying MSP-to-JAX month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 96.8% of 31 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 64.5% across 31 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253164.5%25.8%0.0%
August 20253187.1%6.5%0.0%
September 20253093.3%0.0%0.0%
October 20253196.8%3.2%0.0%
November 20253083.3%6.7%0.0%
December 20253187.1%9.7%3.2%
January 20262365.2%17.4%0.0%
February 20262090.0%5.0%0.0%
March 20262986.2%3.4%3.4%
April 20263083.3%10.0%0.0%
May 20263180.6%12.9%0.0%
June 20263083.3%6.7%0.0%

What drove MSP to JAX delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-JAX delay category, accounting for 52.4% of 2,700 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline52.4%
Late aircraft19.3%
National airspace27.4%
Weather1.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.