BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JAX→MSP

Jacksonville, FL (JAX) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

78.1% of 347 official scheduled JAX-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 13.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.1%arrived on time
13.0%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
347scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.7 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for JAX to MSP?

Among qualifying JAX-to-MSP departure window results, Afternoon had the highest on-time rate: 82.1% of 252 flights. Evening was lowest at 67.4% across 95 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Afternoon25282.1%9.5%1.2%
Evening9567.4%22.1%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for JAX to MSP?

Among qualifying JAX-to-MSP weekday results, Friday had the highest on-time rate: 84.6% of 52 flights. Sunday was lowest at 71.2% across 52 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5276.9%13.5%1.9%
Tuesday4477.3%6.8%0.0%
Wednesday4376.7%18.6%0.0%
Thursday5282.7%9.6%0.0%
Friday5284.6%7.7%0.0%
Saturday5276.9%15.4%0.0%
Sunday5271.2%19.2%3.8%

Which airline was most reliable for JAX to MSP?

Only Delta Air Lines met the JAX-to-MSP airline threshold: 78.1% of 347 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines34778.1%13.0%0.9%

Which month was most reliable for JAX to MSP?

Among qualifying JAX-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 93.3% of 30 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 51.6% across 31 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253151.6%35.5%0.0%
August 20253183.9%6.5%0.0%
September 20253093.3%0.0%0.0%
October 20253190.3%3.2%0.0%
November 20253086.7%10.0%0.0%
December 20253177.4%9.7%6.5%
January 20262360.9%26.1%0.0%
February 20262090.0%5.0%0.0%
March 20262979.3%10.3%3.4%
April 20263073.3%16.7%0.0%
May 20263174.2%16.1%0.0%
June 20263076.7%16.7%0.0%

What drove JAX to MSP delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded JAX-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 47.2% of 5,167 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline38.0%
Late aircraft47.2%
National airspace8.2%
Weather6.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.