BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MSP→IAD

Minneapolis, MN (MSP) to Washington, DC (IAD) flight delay odds

79.8% of 920 official scheduled MSP-to-IAD flights arrived on time; 12.4% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.8%arrived on time
12.4%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
920scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+3.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MSP to IAD?

Among qualifying MSP-to-IAD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 84.1% of 207 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 78.0% across 259 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning20784.1%9.7%0.0%
Late morning13479.1%15.7%1.5%
Afternoon25978.0%12.7%1.2%
Evening32078.8%12.5%1.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for MSP to IAD?

Among qualifying MSP-to-IAD weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 86.0% of 100 flights. Tuesday was lowest at 76.8% across 142 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14078.6%15.7%0.7%
Tuesday14276.8%13.4%0.0%
Wednesday13476.9%14.2%0.0%
Thursday13384.2%12.0%0.0%
Friday13680.1%11.0%0.7%
Saturday10086.0%10.0%1.0%
Sunday13577.8%9.6%4.4%

Which airline was most reliable for MSP to IAD?

Among qualifying MSP-to-IAD airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 89.1% of 46 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 79.5% across 818 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines81879.5%12.5%1.0%
United Airlines4689.1%2.2%0.0%
Republic Airways3183.9%12.9%3.2%
Delta Air Lines2568.0%28.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MSP to IAD?

Among qualifying MSP-to-IAD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 94.9% of 39 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 64.5% across 76 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258575.3%14.1%0.0%
August 20258281.7%12.2%0.0%
September 20253994.9%2.6%0.0%
October 20257792.2%1.3%0.0%
November 20257785.7%9.1%0.0%
December 20257664.5%28.9%0.0%
January 20265369.8%17.0%5.7%
February 20265084.0%12.0%2.0%
March 20268872.7%17.0%4.5%
April 20267785.7%5.2%1.3%
May 202610080.0%11.0%0.0%
June 202611678.4%13.8%0.0%

What drove MSP to IAD delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MSP-to-IAD delay category, accounting for 65.6% of 11,392 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline65.6%
Late aircraft1.8%
National airspace13.0%
Weather19.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.