BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
IAD→MSP

Washington, DC (IAD) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

83.7% of 921 official scheduled IAD-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 10.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
83.7%arrived on time
10.3%30+ min late
1.1%cancelled
921scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for IAD to MSP?

Among qualifying IAD-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 89.0% of 381 flights. Evening was lowest at 75.6% across 164 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning38189.0%5.5%1.6%
Late morning14782.3%11.6%0.7%
Afternoon22981.7%13.1%0.9%
Evening16475.6%16.5%0.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for IAD to MSP?

Among qualifying IAD-to-MSP weekday results, Thursday had the highest on-time rate: 89.5% of 133 flights. Wednesday was lowest at 78.7% across 136 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday14081.4%10.0%1.4%
Tuesday14284.5%7.7%0.7%
Wednesday13678.7%15.4%0.7%
Thursday13389.5%7.5%0.0%
Friday13685.3%11.8%0.7%
Saturday10083.0%12.0%0.0%
Sunday13483.6%8.2%3.7%

Which airline was most reliable for IAD to MSP?

Among qualifying IAD-to-MSP airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 87.0% of 46 flights. SkyWest Airlines was lowest at 83.6% across 819 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines81983.6%10.7%1.1%
United Airlines4687.0%4.3%0.0%
Republic Airways3183.9%6.5%3.2%
Delta Air Lines2580.0%12.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for IAD to MSP?

Among qualifying IAD-to-MSP month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 95.0% of 40 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 71.6% across 88 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20258580.0%12.9%0.0%
August 20258279.3%13.4%0.0%
September 20254095.0%0.0%0.0%
October 20257693.4%1.3%0.0%
November 20257793.5%5.2%0.0%
December 20257672.4%21.1%0.0%
January 20265373.6%17.0%5.7%
February 20265088.0%6.0%2.0%
March 20268871.6%14.8%4.5%
April 20267792.2%3.9%1.3%
May 202610186.1%11.9%0.0%
June 202611684.5%10.3%0.9%

What drove IAD to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded IAD-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 72.6% of 13,875 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline72.6%
Late aircraft3.6%
National airspace10.3%
Weather13.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.