BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MEM→DCA

Memphis, TN (MEM) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

71.4% of 1,152 official scheduled MEM-to-DCA flights arrived on time; 16.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
71.4%arrived on time
16.7%30+ min late
4.5%cancelled
1,152scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.7%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MEM to DCA?

Among qualifying MEM-to-DCA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.1% of 363 flights. Evening was lowest at 58.6% across 307 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36385.1%7.4%3.6%
Late morning34869.3%16.7%4.0%
Afternoon13469.4%19.4%2.2%
Evening30758.6%26.4%7.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for MEM to DCA?

Among qualifying MEM-to-DCA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 76.8% of 177 flights. Thursday was lowest at 65.1% across 169 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17276.7%9.9%7.6%
Tuesday17776.8%10.7%4.0%
Wednesday17068.8%15.9%5.3%
Thursday16965.1%22.5%1.8%
Friday16768.9%24.0%3.0%
Saturday12471.0%17.7%3.2%
Sunday17372.3%16.8%6.4%

Which airline was most reliable for MEM to DCA?

Among qualifying MEM-to-DCA airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 74.6% of 493 flights. PSA Airlines was lowest at 68.6% across 650 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
PSA Airlines65068.6%17.2%5.2%
Republic Airways49374.6%16.2%3.7%
Envoy Air5100.0%0.0%0.0%
American Airlines4100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for MEM to DCA?

Among qualifying MEM-to-DCA month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 78.7% of 89 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 60.0% across 115 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511560.0%18.3%13.0%
August 202511675.0%12.9%3.4%
September 202511577.4%17.4%0.0%
October 202511676.7%12.9%0.0%
November 20258875.0%17.0%1.1%
December 20258777.0%16.1%2.3%
January 20268865.9%13.6%11.4%
February 20267764.9%20.8%6.5%
March 20268964.0%21.3%6.7%
April 20268677.9%16.3%2.3%
May 20268978.7%10.1%1.1%
June 20268662.8%25.6%7.0%

What drove MEM to DCA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MEM-to-DCA delay category, accounting for 42.4% of 23,780 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline27.2%
Late aircraft42.4%
National airspace23.8%
Weather6.3%
Security0.4%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.