BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MDW→MSP

Chicago, IL (MDW) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

75.5% of 2,485 official scheduled MDW-to-MSP flights arrived on time; 14.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.5%arrived on time
14.5%30+ min late
1.6%cancelled
2,485scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MDW to MSP?

Among qualifying MDW-to-MSP departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.1% of 346 flights. Night was lowest at 54.0% across 176 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning34686.1%5.2%2.3%
Late morning56378.3%11.9%1.1%
Afternoon74876.6%14.6%1.1%
Evening65272.1%17.8%1.4%
Night17654.0%29.0%5.7%

Which weekday was most reliable for MDW to MSP?

Among qualifying MDW-to-MSP weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.6% of 364 flights. Monday was lowest at 69.6% across 372 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday37269.6%17.2%1.6%
Tuesday36481.6%10.7%1.1%
Wednesday35780.1%13.4%0.3%
Thursday36773.0%14.4%1.6%
Friday36475.3%13.5%1.6%
Saturday30479.3%12.8%2.6%
Sunday35770.6%19.3%2.8%

Which airline was most reliable for MDW to MSP?

Among qualifying MDW-to-MSP airline results, SkyWest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 76.2% of 891 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 75.2% across 1,594 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,59475.2%14.2%1.8%
SkyWest Airlines89176.2%15.2%1.3%

Which month was most reliable for MDW to MSP?

Among qualifying MDW-to-MSP month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 87.4% of 246 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 61.2% across 214 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202524969.1%20.5%0.4%
August 202523773.8%17.7%0.4%
September 202523280.6%9.9%0.0%
October 202524687.4%7.3%0.0%
November 202521580.5%9.3%7.0%
December 202521461.2%22.4%0.9%
January 202618673.7%19.4%0.0%
February 202618086.7%8.9%0.6%
March 202622564.9%21.3%5.8%
April 202622081.4%10.5%1.8%
May 202614983.2%8.1%0.7%
June 202613262.1%18.2%2.3%

What drove MDW to MSP delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MDW-to-MSP delay category, accounting for 46.0% of 36,935 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline46.0%
Late aircraft27.1%
National airspace12.8%
Weather13.8%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.