BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MDW→MCO

Chicago, IL (MDW) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

74.2% of 2,774 official scheduled MDW-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 14.7% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
74.2%arrived on time
14.7%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
2,774scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.8%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MDW to MCO?

Among qualifying MDW-to-MCO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.6% of 872 flights. Night was lowest at 59.2% across 49 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning87286.6%6.2%0.9%
Late morning56478.9%11.5%1.1%
Afternoon66868.9%17.4%1.6%
Evening62159.4%25.6%2.6%
Night4959.2%30.6%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for MDW to MCO?

Among qualifying MDW-to-MCO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.1% of 366 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.7% across 405 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday41974.7%15.0%1.7%
Tuesday36681.1%9.6%1.1%
Wednesday35680.3%10.7%0.8%
Thursday40074.8%14.8%1.5%
Friday41772.2%18.2%0.5%
Saturday41170.1%14.4%2.7%
Sunday40567.7%19.5%2.0%

Which airline was most reliable for MDW to MCO?

Among qualifying MDW-to-MCO airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 79.0% of 233 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 73.8% across 2,541 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,54173.8%14.8%1.5%
Frontier Airlines23379.0%14.6%1.7%

Which month was most reliable for MDW to MCO?

Among qualifying MDW-to-MCO month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 86.4% of 213 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 58.1% across 234 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202525968.7%18.5%2.3%
August 202522769.2%14.5%0.4%
September 202521386.4%6.1%0.0%
October 202524681.3%9.8%0.8%
November 202523479.1%8.1%6.4%
December 202524175.1%17.4%0.0%
January 202621178.2%10.4%0.0%
February 202620675.7%15.0%0.0%
March 202628666.4%19.6%3.8%
April 202621879.8%11.0%0.5%
May 202619976.4%14.6%0.5%
June 202623458.1%29.1%1.7%

What drove MDW to MCO delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded MDW-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 35.6% of 38,514 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline35.6%
Late aircraft34.3%
National airspace28.3%
Weather1.4%
Security0.5%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.