BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→MDW

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Chicago, IL (MDW) flight delay odds

68.5% of 2,780 official scheduled MCO-to-MDW flights arrived on time; 17.6% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
68.5%arrived on time
17.6%30+ min late
2.0%cancelled
2,780scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.8%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to MDW?

Among qualifying MCO-to-MDW departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.4% of 551 flights. Night was lowest at 51.1% across 178 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning55190.4%2.9%1.3%
Late morning50675.9%11.3%2.2%
Afternoon75567.5%18.3%1.7%
Evening79053.3%28.9%1.9%
Night17851.1%28.7%5.6%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to MDW?

Among qualifying MCO-to-MDW weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 78.8% of 359 flights. Sunday was lowest at 58.9% across 409 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday41465.7%21.0%2.2%
Tuesday36772.5%14.4%1.1%
Wednesday35978.8%11.7%0.6%
Thursday40268.7%16.7%1.5%
Friday41770.0%16.1%2.9%
Saturday41266.5%16.5%3.2%
Sunday40958.9%25.9%2.4%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to MDW?

Among qualifying MCO-to-MDW airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.6% of 232 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 67.9% across 2,548 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,54867.9%17.7%2.1%
Frontier Airlines23274.6%16.4%1.3%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to MDW?

Among qualifying MCO-to-MDW month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 82.3% of 215 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 59.4% across 286 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202526166.3%19.5%3.8%
August 202522763.4%21.1%1.8%
September 202521582.3%9.8%0.0%
October 202524668.3%16.3%0.4%
November 202523476.1%10.3%4.3%
December 202524164.3%20.3%0.4%
January 202621371.4%15.0%1.4%
February 202620466.7%20.6%0.0%
March 202628659.4%23.8%5.6%
April 202621973.5%13.2%1.4%
May 202620073.5%15.0%0.5%
June 202623461.1%23.9%3.0%

What drove MCO to MDW delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-MDW delay category, accounting for 40.4% of 46,343 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline31.5%
Late aircraft40.4%
National airspace18.7%
Weather8.6%
Security0.7%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.