BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MDW→CVG

Chicago, IL (MDW) to Cincinnati, OH (CVG) flight delay odds

72.6% of 515 official scheduled MDW-to-CVG flights arrived on time; 15.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.6%arrived on time
15.1%30+ min late
1.7%cancelled
515scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.1%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MDW to CVG?

Among qualifying MDW-to-CVG departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.0% of 40 flights. Evening was lowest at 66.7% across 303 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Late morning4090.0%0.0%5.0%
Afternoon15080.0%10.0%0.7%
Evening30366.7%19.5%2.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for MDW to CVG?

Among qualifying MDW-to-CVG weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 83.8% of 68 flights. Thursday was lowest at 67.6% across 68 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6968.1%17.4%2.9%
Tuesday7071.4%15.7%0.0%
Wednesday6883.8%8.8%1.5%
Thursday6867.6%19.1%2.9%
Friday6975.4%10.1%0.0%
Saturday8770.1%14.9%3.4%
Sunday8472.6%19.0%1.2%

Which airline was most reliable for MDW to CVG?

Only Southwest Airlines met the MDW-to-CVG airline threshold: 72.6% of 515 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines51572.6%15.1%1.7%

Which month was most reliable for MDW to CVG?

Among qualifying MDW-to-CVG month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 89.5% of 38 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 55.2% across 58 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253956.4%28.2%2.6%
August 20254085.0%2.5%2.5%
September 20253889.5%5.3%0.0%
October 20253969.2%23.1%0.0%
November 20253070.0%16.7%3.3%
December 20253174.2%19.4%0.0%
January 20263177.4%9.7%6.5%
February 20262871.4%14.3%0.0%
March 20265855.2%27.6%1.7%
April 20266083.3%3.3%1.7%
May 20266182.0%11.5%0.0%
June 20266061.7%20.0%3.3%

What drove MDW to CVG delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MDW-to-CVG delay category, accounting for 54.5% of 7,224 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline35.9%
Late aircraft54.5%
National airspace8.7%
Weather0.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.