BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
CVG→MDW

Cincinnati, OH (CVG) to Chicago, IL (MDW) flight delay odds

79.6% of 515 official scheduled CVG-to-MDW flights arrived on time; 11.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
79.6%arrived on time
11.1%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
515scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.4%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.3%all scheduled flights
Diverted1.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for CVG to MDW?

Among qualifying CVG-to-MDW departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.4% of 294 flights. Evening was lowest at 61.8% across 131 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning29486.4%6.8%1.4%
Late morning4182.9%7.3%0.0%
Afternoon4983.7%2.0%2.0%
Evening13161.8%25.2%0.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for CVG to MDW?

Among qualifying CVG-to-MDW weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 86.2% of 87 flights. Monday was lowest at 73.9% across 69 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6973.9%11.6%2.9%
Tuesday7075.7%11.4%0.0%
Wednesday6882.4%10.3%0.0%
Thursday6880.9%10.3%1.5%
Friday6981.2%11.6%0.0%
Saturday8786.2%8.0%2.3%
Sunday8476.2%14.3%1.2%

Which airline was most reliable for CVG to MDW?

Only Southwest Airlines met the CVG-to-MDW airline threshold: 79.6% of 515 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines51579.6%11.1%1.2%

Which month was most reliable for CVG to MDW?

Among qualifying CVG-to-MDW month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 94.9% of 39 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 66.7% across 60 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20253979.5%12.8%0.0%
August 20254092.5%2.5%0.0%
September 20253889.5%0.0%0.0%
October 20253994.9%5.1%0.0%
November 20253086.7%6.7%6.7%
December 20253171.0%16.1%0.0%
January 20263180.6%0.0%9.7%
February 20262885.7%3.6%0.0%
March 20265869.0%19.0%1.7%
April 20266075.0%11.7%0.0%
May 20266180.3%16.4%0.0%
June 20266066.7%21.7%0.0%

What drove CVG to MDW delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded CVG-to-MDW delay category, accounting for 38.6% of 6,207 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline28.3%
Late aircraft38.6%
National airspace27.2%
Weather5.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.