BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→BUF

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Buffalo, NY (BUF) flight delay odds

67.1% of 1,771 official scheduled MCO-to-BUF flights arrived on time; 19.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.2% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
67.1%arrived on time
19.8%30+ min late
1.2%cancelled
1,771scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.3%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+14.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to BUF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-BUF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 89.1% of 331 flights. Night was lowest at 50.0% across 56 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning33189.1%4.2%0.6%
Late morning30072.3%14.3%1.0%
Afternoon54164.1%21.3%1.5%
Evening54355.4%28.9%1.3%
Night5650.0%39.3%1.8%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to BUF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-BUF weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 79.6% of 211 flights. Sunday was lowest at 56.5% across 260 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday26263.7%19.8%3.8%
Tuesday21179.6%11.4%0.5%
Wednesday20475.5%12.7%0.0%
Thursday24462.7%23.8%0.0%
Friday26466.7%20.5%0.0%
Saturday32668.4%17.8%1.5%
Sunday26056.5%30.4%1.9%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to BUF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-BUF airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 75.0% of 288 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 65.3% across 950 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines95065.3%19.8%0.9%
JetBlue Airways53366.0%22.0%1.5%
Frontier Airlines28875.0%16.0%1.4%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to BUF?

Among qualifying MCO-to-BUF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 81.4% of 118 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 57.6% across 184 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511772.6%14.5%0.9%
August 202515170.2%18.5%0.0%
September 202511881.4%11.9%0.0%
October 202513467.2%20.1%0.0%
November 202515874.7%13.9%0.6%
December 202517461.5%23.6%4.0%
January 202614366.4%16.8%1.4%
February 202615461.7%24.0%0.6%
March 202618457.6%25.0%3.8%
April 202616963.9%21.9%0.0%
May 202615368.6%19.0%1.3%
June 202611666.4%25.0%0.0%

What drove MCO to BUF delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-BUF delay category, accounting for 50.5% of 32,966 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline29.0%
Late aircraft50.5%
National airspace17.7%
Weather2.6%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.