BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BUF→MCO

Buffalo, NY (BUF) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

75.0% of 1,773 official scheduled BUF-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 14.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.0%arrived on time
14.2%30+ min late
1.1%cancelled
1,773scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BUF to MCO?

Among qualifying BUF-to-MCO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.6% of 719 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 62.2% across 392 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning71986.6%7.0%0.7%
Late morning23382.0%9.9%0.4%
Afternoon39262.2%21.7%2.0%
Evening36263.0%20.4%1.4%
Night6764.2%28.4%1.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for BUF to MCO?

Among qualifying BUF-to-MCO weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 81.4% of 204 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.3% across 260 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday26373.4%14.4%3.4%
Tuesday21277.4%13.7%1.4%
Wednesday20481.4%11.3%0.0%
Thursday24478.3%11.9%0.4%
Friday26275.2%14.9%0.4%
Saturday32874.1%15.2%0.0%
Sunday26067.3%16.5%2.3%

Which airline was most reliable for BUF to MCO?

Among qualifying BUF-to-MCO airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 75.1% of 949 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 74.4% across 289 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines94975.1%13.7%0.6%
JetBlue Airways53575.0%13.6%1.9%
Frontier Airlines28974.4%16.6%1.4%

Which month was most reliable for BUF to MCO?

Among qualifying BUF-to-MCO month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 88.1% of 135 flights. December 2025 was lowest at 58.3% across 175 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202511775.2%12.8%0.0%
August 202515173.5%15.2%0.0%
September 202511882.2%8.5%0.0%
October 202513588.1%9.6%0.0%
November 202515978.0%13.8%0.6%
December 202517558.3%26.3%3.4%
January 202614372.7%14.7%2.8%
February 202615273.7%10.5%2.6%
March 202618565.9%21.6%2.7%
April 202616976.3%9.5%0.0%
May 202615383.7%7.2%0.0%
June 202611680.2%15.5%0.0%

What drove BUF to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BUF-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 45.1% of 28,187 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline29.4%
Late aircraft45.1%
National airspace24.6%
Weather0.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.