BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
MCO→BNA

Orlando, FL (MCO) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

72.9% of 3,469 official scheduled MCO-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 16.3% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.9% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.9%arrived on time
16.3%30+ min late
1.9%cancelled
3,469scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.3%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.5%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+10.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for MCO to BNA?

Among qualifying MCO-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.1% of 669 flights. Night was lowest at 54.3% across 317 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning66990.1%3.9%2.4%
Late morning62084.8%7.9%0.8%
Afternoon94969.5%18.7%1.7%
Evening91462.3%23.9%2.2%
Night31754.3%30.6%3.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for MCO to BNA?

Among qualifying MCO-to-BNA weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 82.4% of 455 flights. Sunday was lowest at 63.7% across 523 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday51568.3%18.8%1.4%
Tuesday46880.6%11.3%1.5%
Wednesday45582.4%11.2%0.7%
Thursday49976.2%14.2%0.8%
Friday51272.3%17.4%0.8%
Saturday49769.0%20.1%3.0%
Sunday52363.7%20.3%5.2%

Which airline was most reliable for MCO to BNA?

Among qualifying MCO-to-BNA airline results, Frontier Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 77.9% of 136 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 68.8% across 714 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,59073.8%15.1%1.2%
Spirit Airlines71468.8%20.6%4.8%
Frontier Airlines13677.9%16.2%0.0%
Republic Airways2972.4%20.7%3.4%

Which month was most reliable for MCO to BNA?

Among qualifying MCO-to-BNA month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 83.8% of 265 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 64.3% across 286 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202527870.1%20.1%1.4%
August 202526471.2%18.9%0.4%
September 202526583.8%10.9%0.0%
October 202532571.4%20.6%0.3%
November 202528878.1%13.5%2.8%
December 202529469.7%19.0%1.4%
January 202628973.7%10.7%8.0%
February 202629271.2%15.1%3.4%
March 202632867.7%20.1%4.0%
April 202629980.3%10.7%0.3%
May 202626175.1%12.3%0.0%
June 202628664.3%22.7%0.7%

What drove MCO to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded MCO-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 42.8% of 50,152 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline29.7%
Late aircraft42.8%
National airspace22.0%
Weather4.7%
Security0.8%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.