BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→MCO

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

73.6% of 3,465 official scheduled BNA-to-MCO flights arrived on time; 15.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.6%arrived on time
15.8%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
3,465scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to MCO?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MCO departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.8% of 992 flights. Evening was lowest at 60.6% across 865 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning99287.8%5.5%1.4%
Late morning63179.1%10.1%2.4%
Afternoon87067.7%18.5%0.9%
Evening86560.6%26.8%1.7%
Night10761.7%31.8%0.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to MCO?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MCO weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 84.4% of 467 flights. Sunday was lowest at 65.4% across 520 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday51870.8%19.9%2.3%
Tuesday46784.4%8.8%0.4%
Wednesday45882.8%9.0%0.4%
Thursday49370.6%18.1%0.6%
Friday50970.3%17.3%0.4%
Saturday50072.6%16.0%2.6%
Sunday52065.4%20.0%3.7%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to MCO?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MCO airline results, Spirit Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.3% of 713 flights. Southwest Airlines was lowest at 73.3% across 2,587 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,58773.3%15.5%0.8%
Spirit Airlines71374.3%16.0%4.6%
Frontier Airlines13673.5%18.4%0.0%
Republic Airways2975.9%20.7%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to MCO?

Among qualifying BNA-to-MCO month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 89.1% of 265 flights. May 2026 was lowest at 60.8% across 260 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202527768.2%20.9%0.4%
August 202526672.2%16.9%0.8%
September 202526589.1%6.8%0.0%
October 202532277.6%14.9%0.6%
November 202528784.0%10.5%0.7%
December 202529675.0%15.2%1.4%
January 202628580.0%8.4%7.0%
February 202628974.0%12.8%2.8%
March 202632861.3%24.1%3.7%
April 202630072.7%17.0%0.0%
May 202626060.8%20.0%0.0%
June 202629069.0%20.3%0.7%

What drove BNA to MCO delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-MCO delay category, accounting for 48.7% of 49,347 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline25.3%
Late aircraft48.7%
National airspace24.3%
Weather1.4%
Security0.3%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.