BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JFK→BNA

New York, NY (JFK) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

70.1% of 1,466 official scheduled JFK-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 16.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
70.1%arrived on time
16.9%30+ min late
4.3%cancelled
1,466scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.9%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.4%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for JFK to BNA?

Among qualifying JFK-to-BNA departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 81.0% of 168 flights. Evening was lowest at 53.3% across 152 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning26578.9%9.8%2.6%
Late morning16881.0%8.3%3.0%
Afternoon74668.9%17.8%3.5%
Evening15253.3%30.3%8.6%
Night13564.4%21.5%8.9%

Which weekday was most reliable for JFK to BNA?

Among qualifying JFK-to-BNA weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 74.9% of 199 flights. Thursday was lowest at 64.1% across 209 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday21468.7%14.5%6.5%
Tuesday20073.5%14.5%4.5%
Wednesday19974.9%14.6%1.5%
Thursday20964.1%21.1%2.9%
Friday21572.6%19.5%1.4%
Saturday21172.0%15.6%4.7%
Sunday21865.1%18.3%8.3%

Which airline was most reliable for JFK to BNA?

Among qualifying JFK-to-BNA airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 71.4% of 927 flights. JetBlue Airways was lowest at 67.7% across 539 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways92771.4%16.0%4.1%
JetBlue Airways53967.7%18.6%4.6%

Which month was most reliable for JFK to BNA?

Among qualifying JFK-to-BNA month results, May 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 84.3% of 102 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 36.3% across 124 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512436.3%37.1%13.7%
August 202511675.0%12.9%0.0%
September 202514481.2%11.1%0.7%
October 202515775.2%12.1%2.5%
November 202514262.7%23.2%3.5%
December 202513162.6%21.4%5.3%
January 202611067.3%17.3%11.8%
February 202610766.4%18.7%10.3%
March 202612479.0%12.1%1.6%
April 202610581.0%12.4%0.0%
May 202610284.3%4.9%1.0%
June 202610472.1%18.3%1.9%

What drove JFK to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded JFK-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 43.4% of 22,822 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline21.7%
Late aircraft43.4%
National airspace33.7%
Weather1.2%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.