BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
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BNA→JFK

Nashville, TN (BNA) to New York, NY (JFK) flight delay odds

73.4% of 1,470 official scheduled BNA-to-JFK flights arrived on time; 15.2% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 4.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALHigher disruption
73.4%arrived on time
15.2%30+ min late
4.1%cancelled
1,470scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.1 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to JFK?

Among qualifying BNA-to-JFK departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 85.1% of 471 flights. Evening was lowest at 53.0% across 66 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning47185.1%6.8%3.8%
Late morning32679.1%12.6%1.8%
Afternoon60763.4%21.4%5.8%
Evening6653.0%30.3%3.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to JFK?

Among qualifying BNA-to-JFK weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 76.3% of 198 flights. Thursday was lowest at 67.8% across 202 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday21973.5%14.6%5.9%
Tuesday20676.2%9.7%6.3%
Wednesday19876.3%14.6%1.0%
Thursday20267.8%25.2%2.5%
Friday21575.3%14.4%1.9%
Saturday21275.9%14.2%2.4%
Sunday21868.8%13.8%8.7%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to JFK?

Among qualifying BNA-to-JFK airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 73.7% of 929 flights. JetBlue Airways was lowest at 72.8% across 541 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Republic Airways92973.7%14.9%3.8%
JetBlue Airways54172.8%15.7%4.8%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to JFK?

Among qualifying BNA-to-JFK month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 88.2% of 144 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 51.6% across 124 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202512451.6%26.6%14.5%
August 202511681.9%12.1%0.9%
September 202514488.2%8.3%0.0%
October 202515778.3%12.7%1.3%
November 202514470.1%19.4%2.8%
December 202513162.6%19.1%6.9%
January 202611060.9%18.2%12.7%
February 202610773.8%11.2%8.4%
March 202612576.8%12.0%1.6%
April 202610682.1%10.4%0.0%
May 202610286.3%6.9%0.0%
June 202610467.3%25.0%1.9%

What drove BNA to JFK delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded BNA-to-JFK delay category, accounting for 39.4% of 21,284 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline20.6%
Late aircraft37.9%
National airspace39.4%
Weather2.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.