BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
JAXBNA

Jacksonville, FL (JAX) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

Historically, 81.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,111 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
81.2%arrived on time
10.6%30+ min late
0.9%cancelled
1,111scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late1.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.7 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning36495.1%2.2%1.4%
Late morning16783.8%7.8%0.6%
Afternoon20569.3%16.6%1.5%
Evening32975.7%15.8%0.0%
Night4654.3%23.9%2.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17082.9%8.8%0.6%
Tuesday15485.7%7.1%0.6%
Wednesday14887.2%8.8%0.0%
Thursday17679.0%11.4%0.6%
Friday17080.0%12.9%0.6%
Saturday12680.2%11.1%1.6%
Sunday16774.3%13.8%2.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,09580.9%10.8%0.9%
Allegiant Air16100.0%0.0%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202510082.0%9.0%1.0%
August 20259187.9%6.6%1.1%
September 20258691.9%3.5%0.0%
October 20258980.9%9.0%0.0%
November 20259085.6%13.3%0.0%
December 202510084.0%12.0%0.0%
January 20267485.1%4.1%6.8%
February 20267884.6%7.7%1.3%
March 202610068.0%19.0%1.0%
April 202610280.4%8.8%0.0%
May 202610675.5%13.2%0.0%
June 20269572.6%17.9%1.1%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline19.5%
Late aircraft62.7%
National airspace15.3%
Weather2.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.