BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
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BNA→JAX

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Jacksonville, FL (JAX) flight delay odds

75.0% of 1,104 official scheduled BNA-to-JAX flights arrived on time; 13.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
75.0%arrived on time
13.0%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
1,104scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+8.4 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to JAX?

Among qualifying BNA-to-JAX departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 91.7% of 156 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 67.2% across 351 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning15691.7%3.8%0.0%
Late morning22387.4%4.9%0.9%
Afternoon35167.2%16.5%0.6%
Evening33868.0%18.6%0.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to JAX?

Among qualifying BNA-to-JAX weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 80.7% of 150 flights. Sunday was lowest at 69.5% across 167 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday17172.5%12.3%1.8%
Tuesday15080.7%10.7%0.0%
Wednesday14477.8%11.1%0.0%
Thursday17576.6%12.0%0.0%
Friday17172.5%15.2%0.0%
Saturday12677.0%14.3%0.0%
Sunday16769.5%15.6%1.8%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to JAX?

Only Southwest Airlines met the BNA-to-JAX airline threshold: 74.6% of 1,088 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines1,08874.6%13.2%0.6%
Allegiant Air16100.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to JAX?

Among qualifying BNA-to-JAX month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 87.2% of 86 flights. June 2026 was lowest at 56.8% across 88 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202510072.0%18.0%0.0%
August 20259185.7%5.5%0.0%
September 20258687.2%2.3%0.0%
October 20259073.3%14.4%0.0%
November 20258984.3%11.2%0.0%
December 202510079.0%10.0%0.0%
January 20267486.5%6.8%2.7%
February 20267875.6%10.3%1.3%
March 202610065.0%18.0%3.0%
April 202610276.5%11.8%0.0%
May 202610663.2%22.6%0.0%
June 20268856.8%21.6%0.0%

What drove BNA to JAX delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded BNA-to-JAX delay category, accounting for 64.0% of 13,336 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline24.5%
Late aircraft64.0%
National airspace10.5%
Weather0.8%
Security0.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.