BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
IAH→ORD

Houston, TX (IAH) to Chicago, IL (ORD) flight delay odds

73.3% of 6,080 official scheduled IAH-to-ORD flights arrived on time; 17.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
73.3%arrived on time
17.0%30+ min late
1.5%cancelled
6,080scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late10.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+13.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for IAH to ORD?

Among qualifying IAH-to-ORD departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.0% of 1,899 flights. Evening was lowest at 61.3% across 1,514 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,89986.0%7.3%1.7%
Late morning1,06476.0%15.3%0.8%
Afternoon1,19165.4%21.9%1.8%
Evening1,51461.3%26.4%1.2%
Night41274.3%17.7%2.2%

Which weekday was most reliable for IAH to ORD?

Among qualifying IAH-to-ORD weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 77.5% of 834 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.1% across 921 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday90172.7%20.1%1.6%
Tuesday83477.5%14.7%0.8%
Wednesday81475.3%14.7%1.4%
Thursday89575.2%14.0%1.3%
Friday90871.5%18.6%1.4%
Saturday80774.5%15.5%1.6%
Sunday92167.1%20.8%2.2%

Which airline was most reliable for IAH to ORD?

Among qualifying IAH-to-ORD airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 77.3% of 4,007 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 60.1% across 248 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines4,00777.3%13.6%0.6%
American Airlines79864.5%24.6%3.5%
Envoy Air35971.6%17.3%1.1%
Republic Airways35768.1%20.7%3.6%
Spirit Airlines30563.0%25.9%4.6%
Frontier Airlines24860.1%30.2%2.8%
PSA Airlines450.0%50.0%0.0%
SkyWest Airlines250.0%50.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for IAH to ORD?

Among qualifying IAH-to-ORD month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 85.7% of 531 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 65.0% across 514 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202551465.0%25.5%1.6%
August 202553571.6%19.1%2.1%
September 202553185.7%8.7%0.2%
October 202551778.7%11.6%0.6%
November 202546665.9%21.2%3.6%
December 202551274.2%16.2%0.6%
January 202646777.5%12.8%1.3%
February 202643584.6%9.4%0.5%
March 202651465.2%23.0%2.5%
April 202652569.9%17.0%2.9%
May 202653975.1%14.1%0.0%
June 202652567.0%24.8%2.1%

What drove IAH to ORD delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded IAH-to-ORD delay category, accounting for 39.4% of 123,865 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.1%
Late aircraft39.4%
National airspace35.0%
Weather3.5%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.