BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
IAHMSP

Houston, TX (IAH) to Minneapolis, MN (MSP) flight delay odds

Historically, 77.8% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,835 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
77.8%arrived on time
14.2%30+ min late
1.0%cancelled
1,835scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+9.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning48088.8%6.2%1.2%
Late morning31581.3%11.1%1.3%
Afternoon44274.0%17.0%0.2%
Evening59769.8%20.1%1.2%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27477.7%16.1%1.1%
Tuesday27283.8%11.0%0.4%
Wednesday27478.8%15.0%0.4%
Thursday26978.4%13.0%0.4%
Friday26477.7%13.3%1.1%
Saturday21579.1%14.4%0.9%
Sunday26768.9%16.5%2.6%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines1,27278.1%14.3%1.0%
United Airlines54077.6%13.5%0.9%
SkyWest Airlines2365.2%21.7%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514370.6%20.3%0.0%
August 202514177.3%12.1%0.7%
September 202513786.9%10.9%0.0%
October 202515180.1%11.3%0.0%
November 202515770.1%21.7%0.6%
December 202514566.2%22.1%2.8%
January 202613882.6%10.9%0.7%
February 202613584.4%7.4%0.7%
March 202616673.5%12.7%5.4%
April 202616586.1%9.7%0.0%
May 202618082.2%11.1%0.0%
June 202617774.0%19.2%0.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline43.8%
Late aircraft40.3%
National airspace9.3%
Weather6.5%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.