BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWRPHX

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Phoenix, AZ (PHX) flight delay odds

Historically, 78.3% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,489 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.3%arrived on time
12.9%30+ min late
1.9%cancelled
2,489scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+4.3 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning71085.8%7.2%2.0%
Late morning43175.6%13.2%2.1%
Afternoon58079.8%12.9%1.6%
Evening76072.0%17.9%2.1%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday37378.6%12.3%4.3%
Tuesday34478.5%9.3%2.0%
Wednesday33282.2%12.3%0.9%
Thursday36981.8%12.2%0.8%
Friday36381.8%10.7%0.3%
Saturday33675.9%14.9%1.2%
Sunday37269.9%18.3%3.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,49379.4%12.3%1.8%
American Airlines99676.8%13.9%2.1%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202521772.8%19.4%3.2%
August 202520185.1%11.4%0.0%
September 202518879.3%11.7%1.6%
October 202520768.6%19.3%0.0%
November 202522469.6%19.6%2.7%
December 202523575.7%11.9%1.3%
January 202620377.3%12.3%6.4%
February 202618276.4%9.3%7.1%
March 202621586.0%8.4%0.9%
April 202620688.3%6.8%0.0%
May 202621085.7%8.6%0.5%
June 202620176.1%14.9%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline27.1%
Late aircraft44.9%
National airspace23.5%
Weather4.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.