BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWR→BNA

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

73.2% of 1,867 official scheduled EWR-to-BNA flights arrived on time; 16.0% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.0% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
73.2%arrived on time
16.0%30+ min late
3.0%cancelled
1,867scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for EWR to BNA?

Among qualifying EWR-to-BNA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.1% of 273 flights. Night was lowest at 61.9% across 126 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning27386.1%7.0%2.6%
Late morning32982.7%8.2%1.5%
Afternoon82968.8%19.4%3.4%
Evening31068.1%17.4%4.2%
Night12661.9%29.4%2.4%

Which weekday was most reliable for EWR to BNA?

Among qualifying EWR-to-BNA weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 80.7% of 269 flights. Sunday was lowest at 67.4% across 279 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday28269.9%16.3%3.9%
Tuesday26980.7%11.2%2.6%
Wednesday26075.4%14.2%1.5%
Thursday27768.6%19.5%2.5%
Friday27873.0%17.6%1.8%
Saturday22278.8%12.2%3.2%
Sunday27967.4%19.7%5.4%

Which airline was most reliable for EWR to BNA?

Among qualifying EWR-to-BNA airline results, Republic Airways had the highest on-time rate: 74.2% of 396 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 65.4% across 81 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,39073.3%16.5%2.3%
Republic Airways39674.2%12.1%5.3%
Spirit Airlines8165.4%25.9%3.7%

Which month was most reliable for EWR to BNA?

Among qualifying EWR-to-BNA month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 88.8% of 143 flights. October 2025 was lowest at 60.5% across 190 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202516761.1%24.0%7.2%
August 202516477.4%15.2%1.8%
September 202518279.7%13.7%0.5%
October 202519060.5%26.8%0.5%
November 202517165.5%17.0%7.0%
December 202515163.6%23.2%3.3%
January 202611677.6%4.3%9.5%
February 202610883.3%4.6%7.4%
March 202612472.6%15.3%0.0%
April 202614388.8%7.0%0.0%
May 202617978.8%11.2%1.1%
June 202617276.2%19.8%0.6%

What drove EWR to BNA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded EWR-to-BNA delay category, accounting for 34.7% of 29,310 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline26.2%
Late aircraft34.7%
National airspace31.9%
Weather7.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.