BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
EWRBNA

Newark, NJ (EWR) to Nashville, TN (BNA) flight delay odds

Historically, 73.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,867 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
73.2%arrived on time
16.0%30+ min late
3.0%cancelled
1,867scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.5 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning27386.1%7.0%2.6%
Late morning32982.7%8.2%1.5%
Afternoon82968.8%19.4%3.4%
Evening31068.1%17.4%4.2%
Night12661.9%29.4%2.4%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday28269.9%16.3%3.9%
Tuesday26980.7%11.2%2.6%
Wednesday26075.4%14.2%1.5%
Thursday27768.6%19.5%2.5%
Friday27873.0%17.6%1.8%
Saturday22278.8%12.2%3.2%
Sunday27967.4%19.7%5.4%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,39073.3%16.5%2.3%
Republic Airways39674.2%12.1%5.3%
Spirit Airlines8165.4%25.9%3.7%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202516761.1%24.0%7.2%
August 202516477.4%15.2%1.8%
September 202518279.7%13.7%0.5%
October 202519060.5%26.8%0.5%
November 202517165.5%17.0%7.0%
December 202515163.6%23.2%3.3%
January 202611677.6%4.3%9.5%
February 202610883.3%4.6%7.4%
March 202612472.6%15.3%0.0%
April 202614388.8%7.0%0.0%
May 202617978.8%11.2%1.1%
June 202617276.2%19.8%0.6%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline26.2%
Late aircraft34.7%
National airspace31.9%
Weather7.1%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.