BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNA→EWR

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Newark, NJ (EWR) flight delay odds

72.5% of 1,868 official scheduled BNA-to-EWR flights arrived on time; 17.9% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 3.1% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALVariable
72.5%arrived on time
17.9%30+ min late
3.1%cancelled
1,868scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.6%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.8 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for BNA to EWR?

Among qualifying BNA-to-EWR departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 86.3% of 546 flights. Evening was lowest at 59.1% across 430 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning54686.3%7.7%1.5%
Late morning26480.7%12.9%0.4%
Afternoon62866.4%22.0%4.1%
Evening43059.1%27.9%5.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for BNA to EWR?

Among qualifying BNA-to-EWR weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 80.3% of 269 flights. Sunday was lowest at 64.9% across 279 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday28265.6%21.6%4.6%
Tuesday26980.3%11.9%1.9%
Wednesday26179.7%14.2%1.5%
Thursday27765.7%22.0%3.2%
Friday27776.2%16.6%1.8%
Saturday22377.1%16.1%2.2%
Sunday27964.9%21.9%6.1%

Which airline was most reliable for BNA to EWR?

Among qualifying BNA-to-EWR airline results, United Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.1% of 1,391 flights. Spirit Airlines was lowest at 50.6% across 81 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
United Airlines1,39174.1%16.8%2.3%
Republic Airways39671.5%17.2%5.8%
Spirit Airlines8150.6%40.7%3.7%

Which month was most reliable for BNA to EWR?

Among qualifying BNA-to-EWR month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 89.5% of 143 flights. October 2025 was lowest at 56.3% across 190 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202516757.5%30.5%7.2%
August 202516473.2%20.7%1.8%
September 202518279.7%14.3%1.1%
October 202519056.3%29.5%1.1%
November 202517162.0%24.6%8.2%
December 202515261.8%23.7%2.6%
January 202611676.7%8.6%8.6%
February 202610881.5%6.5%7.4%
March 202612472.6%18.5%0.0%
April 202614389.5%5.6%0.0%
May 202617988.3%7.3%1.1%
June 202617277.9%16.3%0.6%

What drove BNA to EWR delay minutes?

National airspace was the largest recorded BNA-to-EWR delay category, accounting for 53.3% of 38,529 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline15.4%
Late aircraft30.1%
National airspace53.3%
Weather1.2%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.