BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BNAAUS

Nashville, TN (BNA) to Austin, TX (AUS) flight delay odds

Historically, 80.4% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 3,026 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
80.4%arrived on time
12.9%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
3,026scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.0%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+2.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning1,00191.7%5.1%0.8%
Late morning57283.7%10.5%0.3%
Afternoon53374.7%15.8%0.6%
Evening76370.2%20.8%0.3%
Night15764.3%22.3%0.0%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday47379.1%14.0%0.6%
Tuesday44584.5%10.6%0.0%
Wednesday42984.8%9.8%0.0%
Thursday46378.6%13.6%0.0%
Friday47278.4%14.0%0.0%
Saturday29885.6%8.7%1.3%
Sunday44673.8%17.7%1.8%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines2,01679.4%12.9%0.5%
SkyWest Airlines1,01082.4%12.7%0.5%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202525173.3%19.1%0.0%
August 202523479.9%14.1%0.0%
September 202522890.4%2.6%0.0%
October 202528480.6%11.6%0.0%
November 202524379.8%16.0%0.0%
December 202525179.3%14.3%0.0%
January 202623984.1%7.1%5.9%
February 202622586.7%8.4%0.4%
March 202627783.4%11.6%0.0%
April 202626686.5%9.4%0.0%
May 202627674.3%15.9%0.0%
June 202625267.9%22.6%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline43.5%
Late aircraft30.8%
National airspace15.3%
Weather10.3%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.