BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
BDLMCO

Hartford, CT (BDL) to Orlando, FL (MCO) flight delay odds

Historically, 72.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,892 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.6%arrived on time
16.6%30+ min late
1.8%cancelled
1,892scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late9.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late4.8%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+11.1 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning64687.2%5.6%1.5%
Late morning24279.8%12.8%2.5%
Afternoon59264.0%22.0%1.5%
Evening38657.8%28.2%2.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday27870.9%16.5%6.1%
Tuesday22679.6%10.6%1.3%
Wednesday22080.9%9.5%0.0%
Thursday26073.1%16.9%0.8%
Friday28075.4%15.7%1.1%
Saturday33769.1%21.1%0.3%
Sunday29163.2%22.0%3.1%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
JetBlue Airways1,01370.1%17.6%2.2%
Southwest Airlines64778.4%12.1%1.2%
Frontier Airlines22367.7%24.2%2.2%
Spirit Airlines955.6%44.4%0.0%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202514267.6%21.8%0.7%
August 202516873.8%19.0%0.6%
September 20258894.3%4.5%0.0%
October 202513276.5%12.9%0.8%
November 202517780.8%9.6%1.1%
December 202517258.7%26.2%0.0%
January 202616459.1%22.0%6.7%
February 202618866.0%20.7%6.4%
March 202617772.9%14.1%3.4%
April 202620472.5%18.6%0.0%
May 202614385.3%6.3%0.7%
June 202613776.6%15.3%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline18.6%
Late aircraft47.5%
National airspace31.9%
Weather1.8%
Security0.1%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.