BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
XNADEN

Fayetteville, AR (XNA) to Denver, CO (DEN) flight delay odds

Historically, 78.2% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 1,280 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
78.2%arrived on time
14.3%30+ min late
0.8%cancelled
1,280scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late7.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.5%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+7.8 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning4684.8%10.9%0.0%
Late morning35979.1%12.5%1.1%
Afternoon42187.4%8.3%0.7%
Evening45268.1%21.7%0.7%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday19275.0%18.8%0.0%
Tuesday17682.4%10.8%1.1%
Wednesday17280.2%15.1%0.0%
Thursday18472.8%16.3%1.1%
Friday19175.9%15.7%0.5%
Saturday17680.7%11.9%2.3%
Sunday18981.0%11.1%0.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines76578.2%14.6%0.7%
United Airlines37079.2%12.7%1.1%
Frontier Airlines14575.9%16.6%0.7%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202510658.5%28.3%0.9%
August 202510867.6%21.3%1.9%
September 202510774.8%16.8%0.0%
October 202511780.3%13.7%0.0%
November 202510289.2%5.9%1.0%
December 202510185.1%11.9%1.0%
January 20269680.2%9.4%3.1%
February 20268483.3%14.3%1.2%
March 202610876.9%15.7%0.9%
April 20269489.4%5.3%0.0%
May 202612082.5%10.0%0.0%
June 202613774.5%16.8%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline32.0%
Late aircraft28.0%
National airspace35.5%
Weather4.5%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.