BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TUSLAX

Tucson, AZ (TUS) to Los Angeles, CA (LAX) flight delay odds

Historically, 85.5% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,581 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
85.5%arrived on time
9.3%30+ min late
0.4%cancelled
2,581scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late5.7%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.4%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.0%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning76392.5%4.6%0.1%
Late morning52386.0%9.2%0.2%
Afternoon69383.7%10.7%0.9%
Evening60278.2%13.8%0.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday38483.9%10.4%0.3%
Tuesday36887.0%8.4%0.3%
Wednesday35387.5%8.2%0.6%
Thursday37488.0%8.0%0.3%
Friday38585.5%7.8%0.8%
Saturday33587.8%9.0%0.3%
Sunday38279.6%13.1%0.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
SkyWest Airlines2,11586.1%9.4%0.4%
Southwest Airlines46682.8%9.0%0.4%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202520982.8%10.5%0.0%
August 202520684.5%11.2%0.0%
September 202519686.7%7.7%0.5%
October 202521284.4%11.3%0.0%
November 202522284.2%7.7%3.6%
December 202522586.2%8.4%0.4%
January 202620387.2%9.4%0.0%
February 202619679.1%14.8%0.0%
March 202622988.2%7.4%0.0%
April 202622690.7%4.9%0.0%
May 202623482.1%13.2%0.4%
June 202622389.2%5.8%0.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline56.5%
Late aircraft26.1%
National airspace4.8%
Weather9.4%
Security3.2%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.