BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TUL→MDW

Tulsa, OK (TUL) to Chicago, IL (MDW) flight delay odds

Historically, 82.1% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 442 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.1%arrived on time
11.1%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
442scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.6 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning16590.3%5.5%0.6%
Late morning5698.2%1.8%0.0%
Afternoon21672.7%17.1%0.5%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6680.3%12.1%0.0%
Tuesday6686.4%7.6%0.0%
Wednesday6484.4%7.8%1.6%
Thursday6580.0%13.8%0.0%
Friday6578.5%15.4%0.0%
Saturday5280.8%13.5%3.8%
Sunday6484.4%7.8%0.0%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines44282.1%11.1%0.7%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255373.6%13.2%0.0%
August 20253390.9%9.1%0.0%
September 20253090.0%6.7%0.0%
October 20253597.1%0.0%2.9%
November 20252781.5%7.4%3.7%
December 20252982.8%10.3%0.0%
January 2026580.0%20.0%0.0%
March 20265070.0%24.0%0.0%
April 20265984.7%6.8%0.0%
May 20266183.6%9.8%0.0%
June 20266078.3%15.0%1.7%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline23.6%
Late aircraft54.9%
National airspace17.9%
Weather3.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.