BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TUL→MDW

Tulsa, OK (TUL) to Chicago, IL (MDW) flight delay odds

82.1% of 442 official scheduled TUL-to-MDW flights arrived on time; 11.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.7% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
82.1%arrived on time
11.1%30+ min late
0.7%cancelled
442scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late2.7%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+5.6 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for TUL to MDW?

Among qualifying TUL-to-MDW departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 98.2% of 56 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 72.7% across 216 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning16590.3%5.5%0.6%
Late morning5698.2%1.8%0.0%
Afternoon21672.7%17.1%0.5%

Which weekday was most reliable for TUL to MDW?

Among qualifying TUL-to-MDW weekday results, Tuesday had the highest on-time rate: 86.4% of 66 flights. Friday was lowest at 78.5% across 65 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday6680.3%12.1%0.0%
Tuesday6686.4%7.6%0.0%
Wednesday6484.4%7.8%1.6%
Thursday6580.0%13.8%0.0%
Friday6578.5%15.4%0.0%
Saturday5280.8%13.5%3.8%
Sunday6484.4%7.8%0.0%

Which airline was most reliable for TUL to MDW?

Only Southwest Airlines met the TUL-to-MDW airline threshold: 82.1% of 442 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines44282.1%11.1%0.7%

Which month was most reliable for TUL to MDW?

Among qualifying TUL-to-MDW month results, October 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 97.1% of 35 flights. March 2026 was lowest at 70.0% across 50 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20255373.6%13.2%0.0%
August 20253390.9%9.1%0.0%
September 20253090.0%6.7%0.0%
October 20253597.1%0.0%2.9%
November 20252781.5%7.4%3.7%
December 20252982.8%10.3%0.0%
March 20265070.0%24.0%0.0%
April 20265984.7%6.8%0.0%
May 20266183.6%9.8%0.0%
June 20266078.3%15.0%1.7%

What drove TUL to MDW delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded TUL-to-MDW delay category, accounting for 54.9% of 5,026 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline23.6%
Late aircraft54.9%
National airspace17.9%
Weather3.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.