BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPA→SDF

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Louisville, KY (SDF) flight delay odds

84.3% of 414 official scheduled TPA-to-SDF flights arrived on time; 8.5% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 0.5% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALLower disruption
84.3%arrived on time
8.5%30+ min late
0.5%cancelled
414scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late4.1%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late0.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.2%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+0.0 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for TPA to SDF?

Among qualifying TPA-to-SDF departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.7% of 118 flights. Afternoon was lowest at 72.3% across 101 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning11890.7%3.4%0.0%
Late morning17988.8%7.8%0.0%
Afternoon10172.3%12.9%2.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for TPA to SDF?

Among qualifying TPA-to-SDF weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 92.5% of 53 flights. Saturday was lowest at 76.6% across 77 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday5388.7%1.9%0.0%
Tuesday5384.9%7.5%0.0%
Wednesday5392.5%5.7%0.0%
Thursday5188.2%5.9%0.0%
Friday5388.7%5.7%0.0%
Saturday7776.6%15.6%1.3%
Sunday7477.0%12.2%1.4%

Which airline was most reliable for TPA to SDF?

Only Southwest Airlines met the TPA-to-SDF airline threshold: 84.4% of 410 scheduled flights arrived on time during July 2025–June 2026.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Southwest Airlines41084.4%8.5%0.5%
Spirit Airlines475.0%0.0%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for TPA to SDF?

Among qualifying TPA-to-SDF month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 96.7% of 30 flights. February 2026 was lowest at 75.0% across 28 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 20254379.1%9.3%0.0%
August 20253375.8%21.2%0.0%
September 20253096.7%0.0%0.0%
October 20253992.3%2.6%0.0%
November 20253093.3%3.3%0.0%
December 20253180.6%12.9%0.0%
January 20263180.6%3.2%6.5%
February 20262875.0%14.3%0.0%
March 20264381.4%11.6%0.0%
April 20263683.3%5.6%0.0%
May 20263688.9%8.3%0.0%
June 20263485.3%8.8%0.0%

What drove TPA to SDF delay minutes?

Airline was the largest recorded TPA-to-SDF delay category, accounting for 37.4% of 2,845 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline37.4%
Late aircraft34.9%
National airspace27.1%
Weather0.6%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.