BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPA→RDU

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Raleigh/Durham, NC (RDU) flight delay odds

80.4% of 1,280 official scheduled TPA-to-RDU flights arrived on time; 11.8% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 1.6% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
80.4%arrived on time
11.8%30+ min late
1.6%cancelled
1,280scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late6.2%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.0%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+3.5 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for TPA to RDU?

Among qualifying TPA-to-RDU departure window results, Late morning had the highest on-time rate: 87.5% of 488 flights. Evening was lowest at 73.4% across 271 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning12685.7%6.3%1.6%
Late morning48887.5%6.8%1.6%
Afternoon31074.8%13.9%0.6%
Evening27173.4%18.1%3.3%
Night8574.1%21.2%0.0%

Which weekday was most reliable for TPA to RDU?

Among qualifying TPA-to-RDU weekday results, Wednesday had the highest on-time rate: 88.0% of 142 flights. Sunday was lowest at 74.3% across 214 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday20376.4%13.3%1.5%
Tuesday15386.3%9.8%0.7%
Wednesday14288.0%7.0%0.7%
Thursday19778.7%12.7%0.5%
Friday20285.1%8.4%1.0%
Saturday16977.5%13.6%4.7%
Sunday21474.3%15.9%2.3%

Which airline was most reliable for TPA to RDU?

Among qualifying TPA-to-RDU airline results, Delta Air Lines had the highest on-time rate: 84.4% of 649 flights. Frontier Airlines was lowest at 74.7% across 249 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Delta Air Lines64984.4%10.3%2.0%
Southwest Airlines38277.2%13.1%0.8%
Frontier Airlines24974.7%13.7%2.0%

Which month was most reliable for TPA to RDU?

Among qualifying TPA-to-RDU month results, September 2025 had the highest on-time rate: 93.3% of 89 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 73.4% across 109 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202510973.4%22.0%0.0%
August 202510177.2%12.9%2.0%
September 20258993.3%2.2%0.0%
October 202510789.7%3.7%0.0%
November 202510574.3%17.1%2.9%
December 202511675.0%17.2%1.7%
January 202610075.0%17.0%6.0%
February 202610976.1%11.9%0.9%
March 202611074.5%10.9%2.7%
April 202611090.9%4.5%0.0%
May 202611080.9%13.6%0.9%
June 202611486.0%7.0%2.6%

What drove TPA to RDU delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded TPA-to-RDU delay category, accounting for 58.6% of 16,355 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline25.6%
Late aircraft58.6%
National airspace14.9%
Weather0.9%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.