BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPAPHL

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Philadelphia, PA (PHL) flight delay odds

Historically, 72.6% of scheduled reportable flights on this direction arrived on time in July 2025–June 2026. The sample includes 2,614 flights.

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.6%arrived on time
18.6%30+ min late
2.1%cancelled
2,614scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late11.8%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late5.2%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.1%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+15.2 mincompleted flights

When is this route most reliable?

The same route can behave differently through the day. These are scheduled departure windows, not actual departure times. Small time windows with fewer than 40 flights are withheld.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning54489.5%6.4%2.2%
Late morning66581.4%10.8%1.7%
Afternoon86765.3%23.4%1.6%
Evening40755.8%32.7%2.9%
Night13159.5%32.1%4.6%

Weekday comparison

Day-of-week results use at least 30 scheduled flights per row. Look for broad patterns, not tiny percentage differences.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday39666.7%22.7%3.8%
Tuesday32978.7%13.7%2.1%
Wednesday31782.6%10.7%1.3%
Thursday38574.3%19.5%0.3%
Friday39675.8%15.4%1.3%
Saturday38768.0%20.9%1.3%
Sunday40465.6%24.5%4.5%

Airline comparison

Marketing-carrier results make codeshare flights easier to compare as travelers buy them. Dedicated route-airline reports require at least 160 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,67472.9%18.0%2.1%
Frontier Airlines78371.5%20.8%2.2%
Southwest Airlines15775.2%13.4%1.9%

Monthly trend

Month-by-month results show whether a twelve-month average hides an unusual period.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202517963.7%29.1%2.8%
August 202520265.3%26.7%1.0%
September 202517190.1%7.6%0.6%
October 202520376.8%13.8%0.5%
November 202520179.1%13.4%2.0%
December 202521164.9%25.6%1.4%
January 202619966.8%19.1%7.0%
February 202624370.4%17.3%5.8%
March 202631767.5%24.3%1.6%
April 202625380.2%13.4%0.8%
May 202622979.5%13.5%0.9%
June 202620669.9%17.0%1.0%

What drove reported delay minutes?

BTS cause minutes are reported for qualifying delayed flights. These shares describe recorded delay minutes—not the chance that a particular cause will affect your next flight.

Airline19.6%
Late aircraft59.9%
National airspace14.1%
Weather6.4%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.