BTS DATA COMPLETE THROUGH JUNE 2026HISTORICAL ODDS · NOT LIVE FLIGHT STATUS
DelayOddsKnow the route before you book
TPA→DCA

Tampa, FL (TPA) to Washington, DC (DCA) flight delay odds

72.0% of 2,248 official scheduled TPA-to-DCA flights arrived on time; 17.1% arrived at least 30 minutes late and 2.3% were cancelled during July 2025–June 2026.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics · Reporting window: July 2025–June 2026 · Updated September 16, 2026

HISTORICAL ROUTE SIGNALGenerally reliable
72.0%arrived on time
17.1%30+ min late
2.3%cancelled
2,248scheduled flights
Based on July 2025–June 2026; on time means arrival less than 15 minutes late.
60+ minutes late8.5%all scheduled flights
120+ minutes late3.6%all scheduled flights
Diverted0.8%did not reach as scheduled
Average arrival+12.3 mincompleted flights

Which departure time was most reliable for TPA to DCA?

Among qualifying TPA-to-DCA departure window results, Early morning had the highest on-time rate: 90.4% of 301 flights. Evening was lowest at 57.9% across 551 flights.

Departure windowFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Early morning30190.4%3.3%4.0%
Late morning66679.4%12.3%0.9%
Afternoon73068.2%19.7%2.2%
Evening55157.9%27.0%3.3%

Which weekday was most reliable for TPA to DCA?

Among qualifying TPA-to-DCA weekday results, Saturday had the highest on-time rate: 76.7% of 249 flights. Sunday was lowest at 60.7% across 328 flights.

DayFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
Monday33669.0%13.7%4.8%
Tuesday34176.5%13.5%3.5%
Wednesday33275.0%15.1%1.8%
Thursday32774.0%15.0%1.2%
Friday33572.8%20.0%0.6%
Saturday24976.7%18.1%0.4%
Sunday32860.7%25.0%3.4%

Which airline was most reliable for TPA to DCA?

Among qualifying TPA-to-DCA airline results, Southwest Airlines had the highest on-time rate: 74.0% of 701 flights. American Airlines was lowest at 70.7% across 1,521 flights.

AirlineFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
American Airlines1,52170.7%18.5%2.8%
Southwest Airlines70174.0%14.7%1.4%
Republic Airways2688.5%3.8%0.0%

Which month was most reliable for TPA to DCA?

Among qualifying TPA-to-DCA month results, April 2026 had the highest on-time rate: 80.6% of 180 flights. July 2025 was lowest at 54.7% across 181 flights.

MonthFlightsOn time30+ minCancelled
July 202518154.7%28.7%5.5%
August 202517673.3%18.2%1.1%
September 202517275.0%15.7%0.0%
October 202517373.4%14.5%1.7%
November 202519576.4%15.9%1.0%
December 202520170.1%19.4%1.0%
January 202620572.7%11.2%9.8%
February 202619570.8%16.4%1.0%
March 202621868.3%17.0%3.2%
April 202618080.6%13.3%0.0%
May 202617674.4%18.8%1.1%
June 202617675.0%17.0%1.1%

What drove TPA to DCA delay minutes?

Late aircraft was the largest recorded TPA-to-DCA delay category, accounting for 54.4% of 42,222 BTS-attributed delay minutes during July 2025–June 2026.

Airline22.6%
Late aircraft54.4%
National airspace18.0%
Weather5.0%
Security0.0%
This is historical evidence, not a forecast.

Weather, schedules and operations change. For a trip you have already booked, use the airline or airport for live status.